TY - JOUR
T1 - Future scenarios for the value of ecosystem services in Latin America and the Caribbean to 2050
AU - Hernandez-Blanco, Marcello
AU - Costanza, Robert
AU - Anderson, Sharolyn
AU - Kubiszewski, Ida
AU - Sutton, Paul
PY - 2020
Y1 - 2020
N2 - We explore the implications of four scenarios for the value of ecosystem services provided by terrestrial ecosystems to the year 2050 for Latin America and the Caribbean, based on the Great Transition Initiative scenarios and previous studies at a global scale. We estimated the current ecosystem services value (ESV) of the 33 countries that make up this region to be $US15.3 trillion/year. By modelling the four future scenarios, we estimated that there is a potential
for ESV to decrease to $8 trillion/year (for the �Fortress World� scenario) or an increase to $19 trillion/year (for the �Great Transition� scenario), a difference of a 47% decrease or a 25% increase. Our results indicate that adopting appropriate
policies could greatly enhance human well-being and sustainability in the region and help to achieve the UN
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
AB - We explore the implications of four scenarios for the value of ecosystem services provided by terrestrial ecosystems to the year 2050 for Latin America and the Caribbean, based on the Great Transition Initiative scenarios and previous studies at a global scale. We estimated the current ecosystem services value (ESV) of the 33 countries that make up this region to be $US15.3 trillion/year. By modelling the four future scenarios, we estimated that there is a potential
for ESV to decrease to $8 trillion/year (for the �Fortress World� scenario) or an increase to $19 trillion/year (for the �Great Transition� scenario), a difference of a 47% decrease or a 25% increase. Our results indicate that adopting appropriate
policies could greatly enhance human well-being and sustainability in the region and help to achieve the UN
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
U2 - 10.1016/j.crsust.2020.100008
DO - 10.1016/j.crsust.2020.100008
M3 - Article
VL - 2
JO - Current Research in Environmental Sustainability
JF - Current Research in Environmental Sustainability
ER -