How would the capability to target the United States with nuclear missiles infl uence North Korean foreign policy? Pyongyangâ€™s fi fth nuclear test in September 2016 and series of long- range and intermediate- range missile tests leave little doubt that the regimeâ€™s ultimate goal is the capability to reliably target the United States with nuclear weapons. Ifâ€”a better word is probably whenâ€”Kim realizes this capability, what might the United States, South Korea, and the regional community do to prevent the most dangerous outcomes and encourage safe or at least less dangerous ones? I address these questions here. I argue that Kim Jong- un and his associatesâ€™ personal experience of fear of imminent nuclear war in a nuclear crisis and beliefs about how much control they have over nuclear escalationâ€”if Pyongyang develops the aforementioned capabilityâ€”will determine whether nuclear war ultimately erupts on the Korean Peninsula.
|Title of host publication||North Korea and Nuclear Weapons: Entering the New Era of Deterrence|
|Editors||SUNG CHULL KIM and MICHAEL D. COHEN|
|Place of Publication||USA|
|Publisher||Georgetown University Press|
|Publication status||Published - 2017|