TY - JOUR
T1 - The Impact of Credit Policy on Rice Production in Myanmar
AU - Nguyen, Hoa
AU - Sparrow, Robert
AU - Aung, Nilar
PY - 2019
Y1 - 2019
N2 - Rural finance has long been an important tool for poverty reduction and rural development by donors and governments, but the impacts have been controversial. Measuring impact is challenging due to identification problems caused by selection bias and governments' targeted interventions, while randomised trial data are scarce and limited to contexts where little to no rural finance exists. Using an author-collected dataset, we provide insights on a large-scale long-lasting subsidised rice credit programme in Myanmar, one of the poorest and, until recently, most economically isolated countries in Asia. Identification relies on a fuzzy regression discontinuity design, exploiting an arbitrary element to the credit provision rule which is based on rice landholding size. Although we find little evidence that rice yield or output is increased, we do see that the programme has some positive effects on total household income, suggesting a positive spillover effect on other farm income activities.
AB - Rural finance has long been an important tool for poverty reduction and rural development by donors and governments, but the impacts have been controversial. Measuring impact is challenging due to identification problems caused by selection bias and governments' targeted interventions, while randomised trial data are scarce and limited to contexts where little to no rural finance exists. Using an author-collected dataset, we provide insights on a large-scale long-lasting subsidised rice credit programme in Myanmar, one of the poorest and, until recently, most economically isolated countries in Asia. Identification relies on a fuzzy regression discontinuity design, exploiting an arbitrary element to the credit provision rule which is based on rice landholding size. Although we find little evidence that rice yield or output is increased, we do see that the programme has some positive effects on total household income, suggesting a positive spillover effect on other farm income activities.
U2 - 10.1111/1477-9552.12299
DO - 10.1111/1477-9552.12299
M3 - Article
VL - 70
SP - 426
EP - 451
JO - Journal of Agricultural Economics
JF - Journal of Agricultural Economics
SN - 0021-857X
IS - 2
ER -